Hot off the "Actual Statistics" press, it is now time for my
Complete 2008 Report of how the real estate market fared in my area of the country - the Massachusetts North Shore, north of Boston. The area of observation consists of 22 towns on the North Shore and considers only
SINGLE FAMILY homes for comparison.
So how did we do in December and thus far this year? In December, 145 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 148 homes went under contract. That marks the first time in 12 months that more homes SOLD in a single month than came on the market. Unfortunately, this is proving to be common for the month of December as last year and the year before we experienced the same occurence in December and it is likely a result of sellers taking their homes off the market for the holidays or waiting until the new year to place their homes on the market.
Except for December, every month in 2008 showed more homes coming ON than going OFF the market. In January, that difference was +150, in February, +188; in March, +226; in April, +262; in May, +199, in June +175, in July +148, in August +99, in September +167, in October +113 and in November +40.
That's
1,767 more homes that came on vs. went off during the year 2008.
At first glance, this seems like good news because in 2007, 2,146 more homes came on vs. went off the market. So 2008 showed a drop of almost 18% in the delta. Unfortunately, upon closer examination we see that the overall number of new listings for 2008 was down by 847, or nearly 17% less than in 2007. Likewise, the number of Under Agreements for 2008 were down 468, or about 16% over 2007. So overall, 2008 was nearly identical to 2007.
So, what does this mean in general for our market area?
It means that we will likely continue to remain in a DEPRECIATING market and will continue to remain there until this trend reverses...but there is "light in the tunnel"...it's just faint.
Here's a recap of the previous 12 months:
In December, 145 single family homes came on the market on the North shore and 148 homes went under contract.
In November, 190 single family homes came on the market on the North shore and 150 homes went under contract.
In October, 308 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 195 homes went under contract.
In September, 374 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 207 homes went under contract.
In August, 317 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 218 homes went under contract.
In July, 374 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 226 homes went under contract.
In June, 444 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 269 homes went under contract.
In May, 497 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 298 homes went under contract.
In April, 518 single family homes came on the market in the North shore and 256 homes went under contract.
In March, 454 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 225 homes went under contract.
In February, 357 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 169 homes went under contract.
In January, 313 single family homes came on the market on the North Shore and 163 single family homes went under contract.
The solution? Sellers need to continue to price their homes ahead of the declining price curve. As noted above, many homes are selling, but they are the ones that are priced properly and AHEAD of the declining value curve.
I will continue to provide updates throughout the year and we'll take a look and see if the market is changing or if we can expect more of the same for a while.
Regards,
Jay Burnham, VP
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage
North Shore, Massachusetts
Most people remember Carly Simon's hit song "You're So Vain" and to this day she has not revealed who she wrote the song about. Many have asked and many have speculated, but no one knows for sure...except Carly, of course... and perhaps the person about whom she wrote it.
